Race 3A

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter Schneider 21.6% 19.1% 15.9% 12.0% 8.9% 10.0% 5.7% 3.7% 2.4% 0.7%
Charlotte Lenz 15.6% 15.6% 14.4% 14.9% 10.6% 9.2% 8.0% 6.5% 4.3% 0.9%
Jennifer Killian 13.9% 13.0% 11.4% 12.8% 14.8% 11.4% 8.7% 8.6% 4.0% 1.4%
Braden Foster 9.9% 11.6% 12.7% 12.5% 12.3% 11.6% 9.9% 9.0% 7.2% 3.3%
Lera Anders 12.2% 9.6% 11.0% 13.2% 13.3% 11.0% 11.5% 8.4% 6.5% 3.3%
Nathan Drezner 6.3% 5.6% 6.5% 6.3% 7.9% 10.1% 11.4% 13.1% 16.8% 16.0%
Brian Hayes 4.0% 5.2% 6.4% 6.8% 7.6% 8.7% 13.3% 14.2% 15.4% 18.4%
William Crane 7.0% 9.5% 10.2% 8.4% 10.5% 10.6% 11.9% 12.9% 11.4% 7.6%
Peter Galloway 6.6% 7.1% 7.7% 8.7% 8.9% 10.5% 11.3% 13.4% 15.3% 10.5%
Nicholas Leshaw 2.9% 3.7% 3.8% 4.4% 5.2% 6.9% 8.3% 10.2% 16.7% 37.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.