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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.39+1.14vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame-0.16+0.59vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.19-1.35vs Predicted
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4Saint Mary's College-2.41+0.33vs Predicted
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5Unknown School-2.34-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14Indiana University0.3927.8%1st Place
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2.59University of Notre Dame-0.1616.0%1st Place
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1.65Indiana University1.1952.4%1st Place
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4.33Saint Mary's College-2.411.6%1st Place
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4.29Unknown School-2.342.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Lesinski | 27.8% | 37.4% | 28.6% | 5.9% | 0.3% |
| Chris Mikesell | 16.0% | 24.9% | 44.6% | 13.0% | 1.6% |
| Nithya Balachander | 52.4% | 32.2% | 13.3% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Emmalyn Holmquist | 1.6% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 38.6% | 50.5% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 2.2% | 2.5% | 7.1% | 40.6% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.