Race 4B

crew-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Mae Speight 26.7% 27.6% 22.2% 13.0% 5.9% 3.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Lenoir 2.5% 4.3% 8.4% 9.1% 12.0% 12.8% 14.1% 13.6% 11.2% 6.5% 4.8% 0.7%
Lauren Krumeich 43.9% 30.2% 15.2% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephanie Roush 1.2% 2.6% 3.7% 6.1% 9.9% 9.5% 12.7% 14.2% 12.6% 12.2% 10.5% 4.8%
Liat Zabludovsky 1.2% 1.8% 3.6% 4.8% 7.5% 9.6% 9.4% 10.2% 13.9% 15.9% 12.6% 9.5%
Lily Madeira 2.5% 3.4% 6.0% 8.2% 9.1% 11.0% 13.9% 14.6% 14.2% 8.9% 5.8% 2.4%
Iris Xu 7.8% 11.3% 15.3% 18.3% 14.4% 13.1% 8.6% 6.5% 3.1% 0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Benjamin Shaya 8.8% 13.0% 15.8% 15.4% 15.8% 12.5% 9.0% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Natalie Brady 3.0% 2.3% 4.8% 9.3% 10.3% 14.8% 13.8% 12.1% 12.5% 9.5% 6.5% 1.1%
Daniel Ulacco 0.6% 1.3% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 4.6% 5.9% 8.3% 11.1% 15.0% 21.2% 23.2%
Emily Donnery 1.3% 1.5% 1.6% 3.8% 5.9% 5.5% 8.2% 10.4% 11.1% 17.1% 19.2% 14.4%
Jesse Lang 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 1.9% 3.0% 2.9% 3.2% 4.4% 7.6% 13.3% 17.7% 43.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.