Race 4A

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter Schneider 22.3% 17.8% 16.1% 11.6% 9.7% 9.7% 6.6% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
Jennifer Killian 14.0% 14.3% 13.4% 13.5% 11.6% 11.3% 8.7% 6.3% 5.7% 1.2%
Charlotte Lenz 15.5% 15.4% 13.8% 11.6% 14.4% 10.6% 7.3% 7.1% 3.2% 1.1%
William Crane 6.1% 9.3% 8.1% 11.0% 10.3% 11.1% 12.0% 12.4% 12.2% 7.5%
Braden Foster 11.9% 10.5% 11.6% 12.3% 12.8% 10.3% 12.4% 8.4% 6.4% 3.4%
Nathan Drezner 6.4% 5.8% 6.3% 6.0% 8.4% 10.4% 10.8% 13.1% 16.1% 16.7%
Peter Galloway 5.2% 6.5% 8.4% 8.5% 9.2% 11.0% 14.0% 14.0% 12.1% 11.1%
Brian Hayes 4.6% 5.4% 7.2% 7.4% 7.2% 8.9% 9.0% 14.9% 18.0% 17.4%
Lera Anders 11.0% 11.9% 11.1% 13.9% 9.4% 11.3% 11.5% 10.1% 6.7% 3.1%
Nicholas Leshaw 3.0% 3.1% 4.0% 4.2% 7.0% 5.4% 7.7% 10.0% 17.8% 37.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.