Race 5A

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jennifer Killian 15.1% 14.3% 14.2% 13.2% 10.4% 10.4% 9.3% 6.8% 4.6% 1.7%
Nathan Drezner 5.8% 5.0% 5.9% 7.4% 8.3% 9.9% 11.0% 13.9% 15.9% 16.9%
Braden Foster 10.1% 11.3% 11.3% 10.3% 12.2% 13.4% 12.2% 9.1% 6.3% 3.8%
Brian Hayes 4.0% 5.5% 5.5% 7.2% 8.0% 8.5% 13.3% 14.3% 16.6% 17.1%
Charlotte Lenz 15.7% 15.3% 15.6% 14.7% 11.3% 8.9% 8.1% 5.1% 3.8% 1.5%
William Crane 9.0% 8.4% 7.1% 8.6% 11.2% 10.9% 11.7% 13.3% 13.2% 6.6%
Peter Schneider 19.5% 17.4% 18.1% 14.4% 10.5% 8.9% 5.5% 3.5% 1.4% 0.8%
Lera Anders 11.1% 12.6% 11.7% 11.1% 11.9% 11.9% 9.9% 8.9% 7.0% 3.9%
Peter Galloway 6.5% 7.3% 7.2% 8.3% 9.6% 10.8% 11.1% 15.0% 13.7% 10.5%
Nicholas Leshaw 3.2% 2.9% 3.4% 4.8% 6.6% 6.4% 7.9% 10.1% 17.5% 37.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.