Race 6A

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Peter Schneider 21.4% 18.9% 15.9% 12.2% 9.7% 8.9% 6.3% 4.0% 1.7% 1.0%
Braden Foster 10.8% 10.0% 13.1% 12.2% 12.1% 11.7% 9.6% 9.9% 7.9% 2.7%
Charlotte Lenz 15.4% 15.4% 13.2% 12.8% 13.8% 10.4% 8.6% 5.9% 3.6% 0.9%
Jennifer Killian 12.6% 15.3% 12.7% 13.8% 13.4% 10.7% 9.4% 6.2% 4.0% 1.9%
Nathan Drezner 6.0% 7.2% 5.5% 7.5% 7.2% 9.1% 10.4% 14.7% 16.4% 16.0%
Lera Anders 12.9% 9.8% 11.3% 12.7% 11.4% 10.5% 11.8% 8.0% 8.1% 3.5%
Brian Hayes 4.5% 4.6% 6.4% 6.5% 8.0% 10.2% 12.4% 12.9% 16.9% 17.6%
William Crane 7.2% 8.9% 9.6% 9.3% 9.4% 11.4% 12.9% 11.5% 11.9% 7.9%
Peter Galloway 6.4% 6.8% 7.6% 9.2% 9.1% 10.7% 9.7% 16.0% 13.5% 11.0%
Nicholas Leshaw 2.8% 3.1% 4.7% 3.8% 5.9% 6.4% 8.9% 10.9% 16.0% 37.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.