Race 1B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Harden 48.0% 27.3% 13.1% 6.8% 3.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Talbot 10.6% 14.2% 18.7% 15.1% 17.1% 12.1% 8.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1%
sumner strumph 11.0% 14.6% 17.7% 16.2% 16.9% 13.7% 7.0% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 6.6% 10.9% 14.2% 18.1% 17.9% 14.7% 10.7% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Joey Lark 14.8% 19.6% 20.4% 17.5% 13.0% 9.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Maeve Glancy 3.2% 3.6% 3.8% 7.9% 8.0% 12.3% 20.5% 21.3% 14.7% 4.7%
Matthew Behr 1.1% 2.1% 2.8% 5.2% 6.7% 9.5% 18.5% 22.8% 21.9% 9.4%
Graham Hughes 0.4% 0.5% 1.0% 2.4% 2.2% 4.4% 5.8% 14.2% 25.4% 43.7%
Arlo Fleischer 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 2.9% 4.1% 5.5% 14.9% 28.4% 39.4%
Jack Valentino 3.4% 6.4% 6.7% 9.3% 11.8% 19.2% 19.0% 14.9% 7.0% 2.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.