Race 2B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Harden 48.6% 25.9% 13.4% 8.0% 2.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joey Lark 13.6% 20.7% 17.4% 17.1% 15.3% 9.1% 4.7% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0%
sumner strumph 11.4% 14.1% 16.8% 17.2% 17.5% 12.7% 7.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 6.2% 11.4% 16.6% 14.7% 18.4% 14.0% 12.2% 5.1% 1.3% 0.1%
Jack Valentino 4.6% 5.9% 8.0% 9.5% 10.2% 20.2% 17.9% 15.3% 6.3% 2.1%
Matthew Behr 2.1% 3.1% 3.7% 3.7% 7.0% 7.8% 18.3% 22.7% 23.1% 8.5%
Alexandra Talbot 9.4% 14.0% 17.0% 19.9% 16.3% 11.6% 7.8% 3.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Maeve Glancy 2.6% 3.3% 5.2% 5.9% 9.0% 13.8% 18.4% 23.1% 13.3% 5.4%
Arlo Fleischer 1.0% 0.8% 1.1% 2.1% 1.4% 4.9% 7.8% 13.2% 29.2% 38.5%
Graham Hughes 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 1.9% 2.5% 4.4% 5.4% 13.2% 25.3% 45.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.