Race 3B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Elena Gonick 8.8% 11.6% 12.5% 15.9% 18.0% 14.0% 10.8% 6.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Thomas Harden 48.6% 26.2% 14.7% 7.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Joey Lark 13.3% 18.5% 18.4% 18.7% 15.1% 9.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Alexandra Talbot 8.6% 15.8% 17.8% 18.3% 17.2% 12.3% 6.1% 3.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Jack Valentino 4.5% 5.7% 7.6% 8.7% 12.8% 17.7% 19.5% 15.5% 6.3% 1.7%
Maeve Glancy 2.8% 4.1% 4.5% 6.1% 7.5% 14.4% 19.7% 19.5% 17.1% 4.3%
Matthew Behr 1.3% 1.8% 3.4% 4.0% 5.8% 11.2% 18.0% 24.6% 20.5% 9.4%
sumner strumph 11.1% 15.0% 18.5% 17.2% 16.6% 11.5% 6.3% 3.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Graham Hughes 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 4.2% 6.4% 12.5% 26.0% 44.9%
Arlo Fleischer 0.4% 0.6% 1.3% 1.9% 3.4% 4.0% 8.4% 13.4% 27.4% 39.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.