Race 4B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joey Lark 14.3% 20.4% 20.0% 15.8% 13.0% 10.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 7.7% 9.8% 13.9% 16.4% 16.6% 16.1% 11.8% 5.9% 1.7% 0.1%
sumner strumph 12.0% 13.5% 16.1% 17.7% 17.6% 12.4% 7.7% 2.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Thomas Harden 46.3% 29.8% 13.9% 6.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Behr 1.8% 3.0% 4.0% 5.9% 6.4% 9.3% 15.0% 24.5% 21.9% 8.2%
Alexandra Talbot 11.4% 13.0% 18.0% 17.6% 17.7% 11.0% 7.8% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Arlo Fleischer 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.8% 2.4% 3.3% 8.5% 12.7% 29.7% 39.5%
Jack Valentino 3.2% 5.8% 8.0% 9.9% 12.6% 19.1% 18.4% 15.2% 6.3% 1.5%
Maeve Glancy 1.9% 3.3% 4.5% 6.7% 9.3% 13.5% 19.5% 21.9% 14.0% 5.4%
Graham Hughes 0.8% 0.6% 0.9% 1.7% 1.9% 4.5% 6.8% 12.9% 24.7% 45.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.