Race 6B

chris-loder

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Thomas Harden 48.0% 27.1% 12.5% 7.5% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elena Gonick 8.2% 9.9% 14.6% 16.7% 17.1% 15.4% 11.1% 5.5% 1.2% 0.3%
sumner strumph 10.9% 15.2% 17.1% 16.7% 17.2% 12.2% 7.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Alexandra Talbot 9.2% 15.5% 17.2% 18.5% 16.5% 11.6% 7.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Joey Lark 14.5% 19.2% 21.4% 17.1% 13.1% 8.1% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Jack Valentino 4.7% 5.3% 7.4% 9.4% 11.8% 19.2% 16.9% 15.8% 7.6% 1.9%
Maeve Glancy 1.6% 3.2% 4.7% 6.0% 8.7% 13.4% 22.4% 21.8% 13.6% 4.6%
Matthew Behr 1.6% 2.5% 3.8% 4.5% 7.4% 10.5% 14.5% 25.3% 20.0% 9.9%
Arlo Fleischer 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 1.7% 2.6% 4.1% 7.6% 13.2% 30.0% 38.0%
Graham Hughes 0.5% 0.9% 0.5% 1.9% 2.1% 4.4% 7.0% 11.8% 25.7% 45.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.