← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+8.83vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.07+8.52vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.24+2.53vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.30+5.38vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.09+5.34vs Predicted
-
6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.11vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.15+3.50vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College3.56+0.05vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.97+1.83vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University3.09+0.43vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+1.22vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-2.69vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston3.23-2.87vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.81-2.33vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.24-5.28vs Predicted
-
16Northwestern University1.95-0.66vs Predicted
-
17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-6.04vs Predicted
-
18Harvard University2.84-6.33vs Predicted
-
19Fordham University2.71-6.84vs Predicted
-
20George Washington University2.49-6.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.52Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
-
5.53Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
9.38Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
-
10.34University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
-
8.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
10.5Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
-
8.05Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
10.83Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
-
10.43Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
-
12.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
-
9.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.13College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
-
11.67Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
9.72Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
15.34Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
-
10.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
-
11.67Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
-
12.16Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
-
13.31George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mack Fox | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Wiley Rogers | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.9% | 13.7% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Harris | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Charles Miller | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Lucas Pierce | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
| Trevor Long | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Jack Brown | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Mark Davies | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 33.0% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.