Race 5B

crew-regatta

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lauren Krumeich 44.1% 28.2% 17.0% 6.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Lenoir 2.6% 3.9% 6.0% 12.1% 11.9% 12.0% 14.8% 13.6% 9.9% 7.7% 4.5% 1.0%
Benjamin Shaya 8.8% 10.1% 16.3% 17.4% 16.6% 12.3% 9.8% 5.3% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Iris Xu 5.7% 12.9% 15.0% 18.9% 15.5% 12.9% 8.7% 5.3% 3.5% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Mae Speight 27.1% 30.4% 19.5% 11.2% 7.0% 2.8% 1.7% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Natalie Brady 2.3% 3.1% 6.2% 8.3% 8.8% 11.5% 12.9% 14.1% 13.6% 10.4% 6.4% 2.4%
Lily Madeira 3.4% 3.5% 6.2% 8.5% 10.9% 11.7% 11.9% 14.3% 10.6% 10.1% 5.6% 3.3%
Emily Donnery 1.0% 1.9% 3.2% 3.9% 5.0% 6.9% 9.2% 8.5% 12.5% 16.3% 19.4% 12.2%
Stephanie Roush 2.4% 1.8% 3.7% 5.8% 9.4% 11.8% 12.1% 14.7% 13.7% 12.3% 8.6% 3.7%
Liat Zabludovsky 1.0% 2.2% 4.3% 4.4% 6.2% 8.9% 8.7% 12.5% 14.6% 15.7% 12.8% 8.7%
Daniel Ulacco 1.2% 1.2% 1.3% 1.5% 3.3% 5.8% 5.5% 7.2% 10.7% 13.9% 24.0% 24.4%
Jesse Lang 0.4% 0.8% 1.3% 1.5% 2.4% 2.7% 4.4% 4.2% 8.4% 11.4% 18.4% 44.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.