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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.84+10.54vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+7.90vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.23+6.89vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.97+6.93vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+5.34vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.07vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-1.37vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.15+1.94vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.07+1.41vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81+1.78vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.56-2.71vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.30-2.33vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-1.47vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-5.98vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.24-5.24vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.95-0.64vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.71-4.95vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-5.80vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University3.09-8.64vs Predicted
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20George Washington University2.49-6.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.54Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.89College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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10.93Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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5.63Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.94Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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10.41Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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11.78Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.29Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.67Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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11.53St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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8.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.76Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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15.36Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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12.05Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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10.36Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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13.35George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Burnes | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% |
| Mack Fox | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Jack Brown | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Trevor Long | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.1% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Wiley Rogers | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Cole Harris | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Lewis Cooper | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% |
| Charles Miller | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
| Mark Davies | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 32.3% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% |
| Lucas Pierce | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.