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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.07+9.40vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.81+9.74vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.23+6.89vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+7.08vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.71+6.29vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15+3.46vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56+0.04vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.24-3.66vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.84+1.63vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.09-0.47vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-0.78vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-2.66vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.49-0.86vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.95+0.29vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.30-6.60vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.09-6.86vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-9.85vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-7.99vs Predicted
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20Tufts University3.24-10.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.4Stanford University3.070.0%1st Place
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11.74Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.89College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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9.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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12.08University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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12.29Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.46Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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8.04Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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5.34Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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11.63Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.53Roger Williams University3.090.1%1st Place
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11.22Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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13.14George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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15.29Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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9.4Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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8.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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11.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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9.85Tufts University3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiley Rogers | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.3% |
| Jack Brown | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Trevor Long | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Pierce | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 6.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.1% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| Mack Fox | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.9% |
| Mark Davies | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 31.7% |
| Cole Harris | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% |
| Charles Miller | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.