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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+8.45vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+5.88vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.07+7.35vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.23+5.44vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.85vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.70vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.71+5.24vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.30+0.94vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.24-3.80vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-1.21vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.45+2.11vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-1.03vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.84-1.36vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.15-4.15vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.94-4.12vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-4.24vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.09-7.08vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.28-4.09vs Predicted
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19Northwestern University1.95-3.97vs Predicted
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20George Washington University2.49-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.45Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.88Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.35Stanford University3.070.1%1st Place
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9.44College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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7.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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12.24Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College3.300.1%1st Place
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5.2Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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13.11Connecticut College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.97Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.64Harvard University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.85Boston College3.150.0%1st Place
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10.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.940.0%1st Place
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11.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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9.92Roger Williams University3.090.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Rhode Island2.280.0%1st Place
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15.03Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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13.09George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Wiley Rogers | 5.5% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Jack Brown | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Charles Miller | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Matt Cappetta | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% |
| Cole Harris | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.0% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| CJ Mckenna | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Henry Burnes | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Lewis Cooper | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Lucas Pierce | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Spencer Cartwright | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Michael O'Flaherty | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 15.1% |
| Mark Davies | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 26.3% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.