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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.14+8.12vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.93+3.74vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+8.82vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.92+6.19vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.82+5.65vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+3.90vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20+2.18vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+3.77vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.46-1.40vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.78+5.31vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.93-0.73vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.31vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.91-2.38vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-5.09vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.68-3.66vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.65-4.58vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.60-5.50vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-6.73vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College2.97-9.06vs Predicted
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20Northwestern University1.93-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.12Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.74Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.82Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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10.19Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.65Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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9.18Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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7.6Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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15.31University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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10.27College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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8.69St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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10.62Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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8.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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11.34George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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11.42Roger Williams University2.650.0%1st Place
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11.5Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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9.94Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
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14.77Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson McCoy | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.0% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% |
| Max Clapp | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Pearson | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 27.8% |
| Ryan Ratliffe | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Josh Dochoda | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Matt Logue | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% |
| Ian Moran | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% |
| David Eastwood | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.0% |
| Christian Filter | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 12.8% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.