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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00+8.72vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.60+9.68vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.92+7.31vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.91+6.23vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20+3.85vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.14+3.17vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+5.40vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.46-0.46vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.93+1.06vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.68+1.43vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.59+0.86vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.93-6.12vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.82-1.98vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-2.86vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.97-5.02vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-7.04vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.65-5.70vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.78-2.67vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-10.61vs Predicted
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20Northwestern University1.93-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.1%1st Place
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11.68Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.31Dartmouth College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.23Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.17Tufts University3.140.0%1st Place
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12.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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7.54Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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10.06College of Charleston2.930.0%1st Place
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11.43George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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11.86Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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5.88Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.02Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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11.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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9.98Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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11.3Roger Williams University2.650.0%1st Place
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15.33University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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8.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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14.77Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Shestopalov | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Max Clapp | 5.5% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% |
| Josh Dochoda | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Jackson McCoy | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Ratliffe | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Matt Logue | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.7% |
| Thomas Walden | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Shawn Harvey | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% |
| David Eastwood | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Christian Filter | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Ian Moran | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% |
| Christopher Pearson | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 27.2% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.