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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+10.72vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.20+6.87vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68+8.46vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+7.22vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+3.46vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.82+4.75vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.14+2.44vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.97+1.72vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.92+1.04vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.20vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.93-0.82vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.65-0.24vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-3.66vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.46-6.33vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.93-0.43vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.93-10.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-5.10vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.91-7.64vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island1.78-3.86vs Predicted
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20Fordham University2.60-8.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.72Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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8.87Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.46George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
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11.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
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8.46St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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10.75Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.44Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.72Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.04Dartmouth College2.920.0%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
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10.18College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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11.76Roger Williams University2.650.0%1st Place
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9.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
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7.67Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
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14.57Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
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5.78Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
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11.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
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10.36Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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15.14University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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11.82Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Walden | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Matt Logue | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| David Eastwood | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Jackson McCoy | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Christian Filter | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Max Clapp | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% |
| Ryan Ratliffe | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Ian Moran | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Kyle Easton | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 23.4% |
| Shawn Harvey | 13.0% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% |
| Josh Dochoda | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Pearson | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 26.7% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.