← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+10.10vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College2.82+8.69vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.14+6.28vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.93+1.81vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.65+6.39vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.46+1.77vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.59+5.12vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.20+0.62vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.97+0.81vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-0.17vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston2.93-0.80vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University2.68-0.37vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53-0.56vs Predicted
-
14Fordham University2.60-2.38vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-5.98vs Predicted
-
16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-7.53vs Predicted
-
17Boston University2.91-6.96vs Predicted
-
18Dartmouth College2.92-7.74vs Predicted
-
19Northwestern University1.93-4.44vs Predicted
-
20University of Rhode Island1.78-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
-
10.69Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
9.28Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
-
5.81Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
11.39Roger Williams University2.650.0%1st Place
-
7.77Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
-
12.12Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
-
8.62Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.81Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
-
9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
-
10.2College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.63George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
-
12.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
-
11.62Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
-
9.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
-
8.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
10.04Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
-
10.26Dartmouth College2.920.0%1st Place
-
14.56Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
-
15.34University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.1% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ian Moran | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Walden | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Christian Filter | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Ryan Ratliffe | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% |
| Matt Logue | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% |
| Kyle Easton | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Liam McCarthy | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Josh Dochoda | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Max Clapp | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 15.0% | 20.2% |
| Christopher Pearson | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 28.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.