← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.65+10.62vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.93+3.88vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.97+7.27vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.20+5.05vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.82+5.80vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.53+6.37vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+2.50vs Predicted
-
8Dartmouth College2.92+2.14vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University3.46-1.27vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.42vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University3.14-1.56vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.19vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University2.68-1.05vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.59-2.07vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston2.93-4.66vs Predicted
-
16Boston University2.75-4.85vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University2.60-5.33vs Predicted
-
18Northwestern University1.93-3.05vs Predicted
-
19University of Rhode Island2.80-8.08vs Predicted
-
20Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.00-9.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.62Roger Williams University2.650.0%1st Place
-
5.88Yale University3.930.1%1st Place
-
10.27Bowdoin College2.970.0%1st Place
-
9.05Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.8Connecticut College2.820.0%1st Place
-
12.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.530.0%1st Place
-
9.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.1%1st Place
-
10.14Dartmouth College2.920.0%1st Place
-
7.73Stanford University3.460.1%1st Place
-
11.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.0%1st Place
-
9.44Tufts University3.140.1%1st Place
-
8.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
-
11.95George Washington University2.680.0%1st Place
-
11.93Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
-
10.34College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
-
11.15Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
-
11.67Fordham University2.600.0%1st Place
-
14.95Northwestern University1.930.0%1st Place
-
10.92University of Rhode Island2.800.0%1st Place
-
10.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Moran | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% |
| Shawn Harvey | 14.2% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Whittemore | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Widmeier | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% |
| Kyle Easton | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Max Clapp | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| David Eastwood | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Jackson McCoy | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Liam McCarthy | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Matt Logue | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Thomas Walden | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% |
| Ryan Ratliffe | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% |
| Casey Cabot | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% |
| Brad Seferian | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% |
| Ryder Easterlin | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 26.7% |
| Aidan naughton | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% |
| Ivan Shestopalov | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.