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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.36+7.37vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.82+8.47vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.83+7.45vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.60+3.38vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+1.74vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68+1.12vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+6.92vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.93-1.58vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.90-2.80vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College0.21+5.61vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy0.72+3.30vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.70-4.67vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.37-4.92vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.61-6.57vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.31-6.54vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.60-8.73vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-5.17vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-0.58-0.60vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.28-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.47Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.45Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.38Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.74Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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7.12Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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13.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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6.42Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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6.2Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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15.61Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
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14.3Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.46Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.27Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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11.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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17.4Bentley University-0.580.0%1st Place
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15.23Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Colantuono | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Francis Doyle | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Collin Alexander | 7.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 6.1% |
| Colin Brego | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Spiro | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 17.0% | 22.9% | 18.1% |
| Mott Blair | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 14.2% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 8.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Mastrandrea | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCulloch | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Alexander Kostas | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 50.8% |
| Corinne Poitras | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 22.3% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.