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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.81+1.01vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.31+0.57vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.14+0.45vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06-0.41vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.97+1.02vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-0.16+2.47vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.00-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.19-0.33vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College0.72-2.54vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University0.43-2.86vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.21-5.44vs Predicted
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13Amherst College-0.61-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01Brown University3.810.4%1st Place
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2.57Bowdoin College3.310.3%1st Place
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4.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.140.1%1st Place
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4.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.1%1st Place
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7.02Northeastern University0.970.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Connecticut-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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8.67University of New Hampshire0.190.0%1st Place
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7.46Middlebury College0.720.0%1st Place
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8.14Brandeis University0.430.0%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.210.0%1st Place
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10.24Amherst College-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Krumeich | 44.1% | 29.4% | 14.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mae Speight | 26.1% | 30.4% | 20.9% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Shaya | 9.4% | 8.9% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Iris Xu | 5.7% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Natalie Brady | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Daniel Ulacco | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 14.7% | 22.4% | 24.7% |
| Lily Madeira | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% |
| Emily Donnery | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 12.8% |
| Stephanie Roush | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 3.2% |
| Liat Zabludovsky | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 8.1% |
| Eric Lenoir | 3.3% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Jesse Lang | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 19.5% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.