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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.83+5.60vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.83+8.50vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.37+5.37vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.61+3.35vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.60+2.66vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+2.31vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.72+7.27vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.31+0.74vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy0.28+6.30vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+3.87vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.68-3.87vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.90-5.51vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.21+2.50vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.82-3.49vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.93-8.88vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.60-8.70vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.70-10.01vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-6.16vs Predicted
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19Bentley University-0.58-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.6Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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10.5Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.37Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.66Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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14.27Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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8.74Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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15.3Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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13.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.49Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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15.5Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
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10.51Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.12Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.3Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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11.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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17.15Bentley University-0.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ansgar Jordan | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Peter Neal | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Collin Alexander | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 8.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 22.4% | 16.5% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 5.9% |
| Preston Duclos | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 10.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anna Spiro | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 19.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 4.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Colin Brego | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCulloch | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Kostas | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 18.5% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.