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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.60+6.43vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+5.43vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.70+4.14vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.72+10.13vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.37+3.49vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68+1.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.60+0.43vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+0.59vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+2.58vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.83-3.55vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.90-4.75vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.82-1.26vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.93-7.02vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.31-5.41vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.21+0.36vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.27vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.28-1.73vs Predicted
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18Bentley University-1.55+0.34vs Predicted
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19Harvard University1.83-9.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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14.13Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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7.43Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.59University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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11.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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6.45Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.74Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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5.98Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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8.59Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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15.36Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
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13.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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15.27Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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18.34Bentley University-1.550.0%1st Place
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10.0Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Alexander | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 22.1% | 13.8% | 3.0% |
| Peter Neal | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy McCulloch | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 9.5% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Spiro | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 17.2% | 27.1% | 10.3% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 2.1% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 27.5% | 8.0% |
| Marissa Walsh | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 11.7% | 76.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.