← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.61+6.34vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.83+4.62vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University1.83+7.43vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.60+3.39vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.93+1.40vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.68+1.04vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.37+1.24vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.70-0.72vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+2.61vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy0.72+4.10vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.36-2.68vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.31-3.21vs Predicted
-
13Brown University2.60-5.85vs Predicted
-
14Yale University2.90-7.60vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-1.35vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University1.82-5.74vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College0.21-1.54vs Predicted
-
18Maine Maritime Academy0.28-2.66vs Predicted
-
19Bentley University-1.55-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.34Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
6.62Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
-
10.43Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
-
7.39Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.4Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.04Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
-
8.24Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
-
7.28University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
-
11.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
-
14.1Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
-
8.32University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.79Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
-
7.15Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.4Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
13.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
-
10.26Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
-
15.46Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
-
15.34Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
-
18.18Bentley University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Collin Alexander | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCulloch | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Mott Blair | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 19.2% | 13.8% | 3.6% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John Mastrandrea | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 12.6% | 3.4% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Anna Spiro | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 28.8% | 9.6% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 23.0% | 8.7% |
| Marissa Walsh | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 12.0% | 73.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.