← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.70+5.84vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.60+5.21vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.68+4.01vs Predicted
-
4Maine Maritime Academy0.72+10.06vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.47+2.85vs Predicted
-
6Yale University2.90+0.08vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.83-0.60vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.61-0.60vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.60-1.94vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+3.62vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.37-3.00vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University1.82-1.51vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University1.83-3.05vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.31-5.65vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.02-5.74vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-4.45vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.28-1.84vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College0.21-2.49vs Predicted
-
19Bentley University-1.55-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.84University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
-
7.21Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
-
7.01Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
-
14.06Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
-
7.85Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
-
6.08Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.4Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
-
7.4Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
7.06Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
-
13.62Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
-
8.0Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
-
10.49Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
-
9.95Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
-
8.35Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
-
9.26University of Rhode Island2.020.0%1st Place
-
11.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
-
15.16Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
-
15.51Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
-
18.18Bentley University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 3.2% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 12.6% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Collin Alexander | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 2.8% |
| Peter Neal | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy McCulloch | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Corinne Poitras | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 25.9% | 8.7% |
| Anna Spiro | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 19.2% | 25.4% | 10.3% |
| Marissa Walsh | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 11.8% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.