← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.90+5.10vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.60+5.23vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.70+3.96vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.37+4.06vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.31+3.54vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.68+0.89vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.60+0.18vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.47-0.12vs Predicted
-
9Maine Maritime Academy0.72+4.78vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.83-3.78vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University1.83-0.81vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.61-4.59vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.02-3.81vs Predicted
-
14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-2.21vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.82-4.91vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.40vs Predicted
-
17Maine Maritime Academy0.28-1.80vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College0.21-2.50vs Predicted
-
19Bentley University-1.55-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.1Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.23Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
-
6.96University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
-
8.06Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
-
8.54Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
-
6.89Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
-
7.18Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
-
7.88Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
-
13.78Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
-
6.22Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
-
10.19Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
-
7.41Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
9.19University of Rhode Island2.020.1%1st Place
-
11.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
-
10.09Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
-
13.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
-
15.2Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
-
15.5Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
-
18.18Bentley University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Marwell | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Collin Alexander | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 3.6% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Merson | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCulloch | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Grace Vincens | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 2.1% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 17.9% | 26.2% | 8.2% |
| Anna Spiro | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 17.6% | 26.4% | 10.9% |
| Marissa Walsh | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 11.0% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.