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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+6.15vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.37+6.09vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.70+3.91vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.60+3.18vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.83+1.56vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+5.48vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.82+3.24vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.31+0.51vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.90-2.97vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.83+0.13vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.02-1.60vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.68-4.83vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.60-6.02vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.47-6.21vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.72-1.10vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84-2.39vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.28-1.82vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.21-2.48vs Predicted
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19Bentley University-1.55-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.09Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.18Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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6.56Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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11.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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10.24Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.51Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.03Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.13Harvard University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island2.020.0%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.98Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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13.9Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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13.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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15.18Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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15.52Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
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18.17Bentley University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Merson | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 7.2% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy McCulloch | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Grace Vincens | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis Doyle | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kylie Castellano | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Collin Alexander | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 4.5% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 15.8% | 11.9% | 2.1% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 25.8% | 8.0% |
| Anna Spiro | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 26.6% | 10.4% |
| Marissa Walsh | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 6.2% | 11.2% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.