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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.70+5.81vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+5.08vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.31+5.39vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.82+6.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.37+3.22vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.90+0.02vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.60+0.15vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.47-0.15vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.60-2.01vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.02-0.74vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.84+2.67vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.83-5.47vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-6.42vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.61-2.93vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-3.53vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.72-2.08vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.21-1.66vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.28-2.72vs Predicted
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19Bentley University-1.55-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.39Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.22Roger Williams University2.370.0%1st Place
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6.02Yale University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.15Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.85Boston College2.470.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.26University of Rhode Island2.020.0%1st Place
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13.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.840.0%1st Place
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6.53Tufts University2.830.1%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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11.07Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.0%1st Place
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13.92Maine Maritime Academy0.720.0%1st Place
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15.34Middlebury College0.210.0%1st Place
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15.28Maine Maritime Academy0.280.0%1st Place
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18.17Bentley University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Merson | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 12.5% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Mastrandrea | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Rasmussen | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Collin Alexander | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kylie Castellano | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Stephen Poirier | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 11.7% | 2.5% |
| Ansgar Jordan | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Jeremy McCulloch | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Mott Blair | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 2.9% |
| Anna Spiro | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 27.5% | 9.4% |
| Corinne Poitras | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 17.4% | 24.1% | 9.8% |
| Marissa Walsh | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.