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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.23+0.53vs Predicted
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2University of Toledo-2.87+2.42vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.20-0.70vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.07-1.61vs Predicted
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5Saint Mary's College-2.73-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.53University of Notre Dame1.2359.1%1st Place
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4.42University of Toledo-2.871.0%1st Place
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2.3Indiana University0.2020.3%1st Place
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2.39Indiana University0.0718.4%1st Place
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4.36Saint Mary's College-2.731.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payden Pittman | 59.1% | 29.9% | 10.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Avery | 1.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 42.0% | 51.6% |
| Kurt Weisenfluh | 20.3% | 35.4% | 38.7% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Zander West | 18.4% | 31.4% | 43.5% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte McIlnay | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 46.2% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.