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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy1.44+9.62vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.71+3.72vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.81+2.46vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.23+3.44vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.13+3.02vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.33+1.03vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.78+2.35vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.02+0.50vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.69+0.51vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+2.01vs Predicted
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11Bentley University1.03+1.24vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.61-5.75vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.22-5.75vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.57-3.72vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy0.25-0.22vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.10-4.19vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.17-5.31vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.18-1.83vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.62Maine Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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5.72Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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5.46Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.44University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.35Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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8.5Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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9.51Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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12.24Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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6.25Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.25Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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10.28Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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14.78Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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11.81Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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16.17Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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15.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Gass | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Alex Fasolo | 12.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 12.3% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 6.4% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| John Walton | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Connell | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 3.5% |
| Charlie Hibben | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 21.1% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.2% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Hanna Mass | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 13.8% | 19.4% | 32.5% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 21.8% | 29.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.