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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+4.41vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+4.09vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.23+4.54vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.71+1.66vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22+2.69vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.13+1.85vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.25+7.91vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy1.44+2.79vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.33-2.02vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.69-0.44vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.02-2.70vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+0.42vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.57-3.15vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.10-1.95vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.17-3.46vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.78-6.87vs Predicted
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17Bentley University1.03-4.83vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.81vs Predicted
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19Middlebury College-0.18-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.09Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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5.66Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.69Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.85Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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14.91Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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10.79Maine Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.56Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
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8.3Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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12.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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9.85Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.05Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.54University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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9.13Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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12.17Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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16.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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15.88Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 12.7% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| Elijah Gass | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| John Walton | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Connell | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 3.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 2.8% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Tucker Braun | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 17.5% | 34.9% |
| Hanna Mass | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 21.2% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.