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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.71+4.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+4.08vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.81+2.45vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.33+3.07vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.23+2.67vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.78+3.22vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.69+2.67vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.10+4.24vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.22-1.66vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.02-1.82vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.44-0.45vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.25+3.24vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-1.16vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.57-3.79vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.17-3.43vs Predicted
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16Bentley University1.03-3.92vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.13-9.21vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.79vs Predicted
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19Middlebury College-0.18-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.72Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.08Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.45Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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7.67University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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9.22Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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9.67Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
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12.24Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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8.18Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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10.55Maine Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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15.24Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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11.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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10.21Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.57University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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12.08Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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7.79Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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16.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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15.87Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Fasolo | 10.7% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 14.7% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Jackson Connell | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.8% |
| Jed Bell | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Elijah Gass | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 19.3% | 19.7% |
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tucker Braun | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 33.6% |
| Hanna Mass | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 14.1% | 19.8% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.