← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.61+5.06vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.33+5.13vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.22+4.62vs Predicted
-
4University of Vermont2.23+3.46vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.71+0.87vs Predicted
-
6Yale University1.57+4.02vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University1.69+2.69vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.17+3.95vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+2.87vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.81-4.80vs Predicted
-
11Maine Maritime Academy0.25+3.96vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University2.13-3.87vs Predicted
-
13Bentley University1.03-0.98vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.02-5.63vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.78-5.78vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy1.44-5.46vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-0.18-0.94vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University1.10-6.06vs Predicted
-
19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.06Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
7.13Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
-
7.62Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
-
7.46University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
-
5.87Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
-
10.02Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
-
9.69Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
-
11.95University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
-
11.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
-
5.2Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
14.96Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
-
8.13Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
-
12.02Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
-
8.37Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
-
9.22Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
-
10.54Maine Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
-
16.06Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
-
11.94Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
-
15.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hibben | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| John Walton | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Fasolo | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Jackson Connell | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 12.9% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 18.8% | 17.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caleb Niles | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Elijah Gass | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Hanna Mass | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 12.0% | 19.8% | 34.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 2.6% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 20.2% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.