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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+4.43vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.61+4.15vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.78+6.37vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.23+3.49vs Predicted
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5Bentley University1.03+7.56vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.10+5.76vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.71-1.23vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.33-0.70vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy1.44+1.42vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.57+0.01vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.22-3.48vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+0.45vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-0.18+2.96vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.02-5.59vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+0.92vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.69-6.48vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-2.15vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.17-6.35vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.13-11.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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6.15Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.37Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.49University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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12.56Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.76Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.77Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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10.42Maine Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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10.01Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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7.52Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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12.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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15.96Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.41Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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15.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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9.52Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
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14.85Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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7.48Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 12.4% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 3.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 3.4% |
| Alex Fasolo | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elijah Gass | 3.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 2.8% |
| Hanna Mass | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 20.0% | 32.4% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 7.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Braun | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 34.6% |
| Jackson Connell | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 17.9% | 17.9% |
| Megan Gimple | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.