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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.61+5.05vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.33+5.11vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.71+2.74vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.23+3.45vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.22+2.71vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.81-0.65vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.57+3.18vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.78+1.45vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.02-0.85vs Predicted
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10Bentley University1.03+2.18vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.10+0.98vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.69-2.07vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.13-5.42vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.17-2.14vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy1.44-4.50vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-4.11vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-0.18-0.96vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy0.25-3.04vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.74Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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7.71Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.35Boston College2.810.2%1st Place
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10.18Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.45Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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8.15Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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12.18Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.98Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.93Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.58Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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11.86University of Rhode Island1.170.0%1st Place
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10.5Maine Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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11.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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16.04Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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14.96Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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15.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Hibben | 9.6% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Nash | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 15.1% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martin Tipton | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Niles | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 2.6% |
| Jackson Connell | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Megan Gimple | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 2.0% |
| Elijah Gass | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Hanna Mass | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 18.7% | 35.1% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 18.0% | 18.2% |
| Tucker Braun | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 12.5% | 20.0% | 31.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.