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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.13+6.75vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.33+5.07vs Predicted
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3Bentley University1.03+9.21vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.02+4.18vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+0.51vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.71-0.43vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.69+2.59vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy1.44+2.76vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.10+2.66vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.78-0.86vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.22-3.62vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.61-5.80vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.57-3.15vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-1.85vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-0.18+0.85vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+0.03vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy0.25-2.25vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.23-10.66vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island0.69-5.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.07Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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12.21Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.18Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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5.51Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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5.57Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.59Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
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10.76Maine Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.14Northeastern University1.780.0%1st Place
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7.38Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.2Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.85Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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12.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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15.85Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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16.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.75Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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13.03University of Rhode Island0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Hansen | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| John Walton | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 13.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Connell | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Elijah Gass | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Hibben | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 2.8% |
| Hanna Mass | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 33.0% |
| Tucker Braun | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 31.8% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 15.6% | 18.2% | 16.4% |
| Cameron Nash | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Peter Gunn | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.