← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.71+4.65vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University2.61+4.02vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.23+4.45vs Predicted
-
4Maine Maritime Academy1.44+6.59vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.33+2.21vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.13+1.74vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.22+0.42vs Predicted
-
8Bentley University1.03+4.35vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+6.85vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University1.69-0.59vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.81-5.70vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University1.10+0.24vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.78-4.03vs Predicted
-
14Yale University1.57-3.85vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy0.25-0.37vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College-0.18+0.02vs Predicted
-
17Boston University2.02-8.88vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-6.11vs Predicted
-
19University of Rhode Island0.69-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.65Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
-
6.02Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
-
7.45University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
-
10.59Maine Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
-
7.21Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
-
7.74Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
-
7.42Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
-
12.35Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
-
15.85Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
-
9.41Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
-
5.3Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
12.24Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
-
8.97Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
-
10.15Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
-
14.63Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
-
16.02Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
-
8.12Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
-
11.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
-
13.02University of Rhode Island0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Fasolo | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Elijah Gass | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| John Walton | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
| Tucker Braun | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 12.6% | 19.0% | 32.0% |
| Jackson Connell | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Hunter | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Caleb Niles | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 18.7% | 17.1% |
| Hanna Mass | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 19.8% | 32.1% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Peter Gunn | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.