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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.71+4.63vs Predicted
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2Bentley University1.03+10.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.61+3.04vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+7.97vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.23+2.58vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.13+1.73vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.57+2.99vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.78+1.38vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.33-2.09vs Predicted
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10Maine Maritime Academy0.25+4.76vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.22-3.64vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.10+0.18vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.02-5.05vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.44-3.41vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.81-9.73vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19+0.01vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.69-7.53vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-0.18-1.98vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island0.69-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.15Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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6.04Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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11.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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7.73Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.99Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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9.38Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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6.91Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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14.76Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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7.36Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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12.18Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.95Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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10.59Maine Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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5.27Boston College2.810.2%1st Place
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16.01Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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9.47Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
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16.02Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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13.02University of Rhode Island0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Fasolo | 10.8% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Charlie Hibben | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Cameron Nash | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Caleb Niles | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| John Walton | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 19.0% | 17.1% |
| Jed Bell | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Elijah Gass | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 16.3% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Braun | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 11.7% | 20.1% | 32.7% |
| Jackson Connell | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Hanna Mass | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 20.1% | 30.3% |
| Peter Gunn | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.