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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+8.17vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University5.19+3.30vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+4.95vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+3.53vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.34+3.23vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.89+0.25vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.78-0.41vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63+3.06vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.92+4.77vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.62+1.45vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-4.44vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.34-3.31vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.69-2.23vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.00-0.84vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-3.24vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.66-4.93vs Predicted
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17Brown University4.49-9.17vs Predicted
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18University of Florida2.84-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.17Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.3Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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7.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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11.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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13.77Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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6.56St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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8.69College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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10.77University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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13.16SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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11.07Connecticut College3.660.0%1st Place
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7.83Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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13.86University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 10.7% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Blouin | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Robert Vann | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Sinks | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% |
| Zach Runci | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 17.6% | 21.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% |
| Michael Menninger | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| David Hernandez | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Ted Green | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 17.5% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% |
| Michael Marshall | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.4% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.