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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.22+6.39vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.13+5.77vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.78+6.26vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08+7.98vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.71+0.81vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.610.00vs Predicted
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7Bentley University1.03+5.21vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.81-2.45vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.69+0.30vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.23-2.79vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy1.44-0.49vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.02-3.54vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-0.18+2.83vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.33-6.89vs Predicted
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15Yale University1.57-5.11vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy0.25-1.19vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island0.69-3.67vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.88vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.10-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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7.77Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.26Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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11.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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5.81Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.0Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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12.21Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.55Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.3Roger Williams University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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10.51Maine Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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8.46Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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15.83Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.11Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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9.89Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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14.81Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
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13.33University of Rhode Island0.690.0%1st Place
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16.12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.46Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jed Bell | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 2.3% |
| Alex Fasolo | 9.7% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Hibben | 12.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 3.6% |
| Robert Hunter | 13.4% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Connell | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elijah Gass | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Mass | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 30.6% |
| John Walton | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 18.4% | 16.7% |
| Peter Gunn | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 7.5% |
| Tucker Braun | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 32.3% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.