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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.71+4.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.22+5.46vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.69+6.57vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.13+3.74vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.61+1.16vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.33+0.98vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.81-1.64vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.78+1.40vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.02-1.01vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.18+5.94vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.23-3.69vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.57-1.65vs Predicted
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13Bentley University1.03-1.13vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy1.44-3.38vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.69-1.76vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.10-4.15vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.08-5.08vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.19-1.95vs Predicted
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19Maine Maritime Academy0.25-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.65Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.46Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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9.57Roger Williams University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.74Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.16Tufts University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.98Roger Williams University2.330.1%1st Place
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5.36Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.4Northeastern University1.780.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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15.94Middlebury College-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Vermont2.230.1%1st Place
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10.35Yale University1.570.0%1st Place
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11.87Bentley University1.030.0%1st Place
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10.62Maine Maritime Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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13.24University of Rhode Island0.690.0%1st Place
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11.85Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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11.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.080.0%1st Place
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16.05Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.190.0%1st Place
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14.56Maine Maritime Academy0.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Fasolo | 11.1% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Connell | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Eric Hansen | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Charlie Hibben | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Walton | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 12.9% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Niles | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Hanna Mass | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 20.2% | 31.7% |
| Cameron Nash | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Martin Tipton | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Memoli | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Elijah Gass | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Peter Gunn | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Elizabeth Obermaier | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Tucker Braun | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 12.9% | 19.1% | 31.3% |
| Olivia Mitchell | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 18.9% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.