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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.12+8.29vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+6.61vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.77+4.02vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+3.42vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37-0.83vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.72-3.02vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14+1.24vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.86+1.76vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+1.07vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.04-1.05vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-4.55vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.14-3.46vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.82-3.24vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.32-2.65vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.36-7.36vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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8.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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7.02Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.02Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.17College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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3.98Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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9.24Old Dominion University2.140.1%1st Place
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10.76Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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9.95Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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7.45Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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12.35University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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14.72SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Mooradian | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.2% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 13.1% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 19.2% | 17.3% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Paula Resto | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 4.9% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 5.7% |
| Macey McCann | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 5.2% |
| Allison Marozza | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 16.6% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Clara Guarascio | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 50.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.