← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.37+3.86vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.06+3.96vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.77+4.05vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.12+5.56vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+3.48vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+5.30vs Predicted
-
7Georgetown University2.04+2.81vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan1.32+4.12vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University2.14+0.59vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.82+0.50vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.72-6.90vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.36-3.41vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.36-4.31vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University2.65-6.37vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy2.14-5.58vs Predicted
-
16Jacksonville University1.86-5.39vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.86College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
5.96Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
7.05Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
9.56Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
-
8.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
-
11.3University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
-
9.81Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
-
12.12University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
-
9.59Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
-
10.5Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
-
4.1Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
-
8.59University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
8.69Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
-
7.63Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
9.42U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
-
10.61Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
-
14.73SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 14.9% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 7.7% |
| Macey McCann | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 2.7% |
| Allison Marozza | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 16.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 5.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 20.8% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Jessica McJones | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Paula Resto | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Clara Guarascio | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 13.1% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.