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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+2.93vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+6.49vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.14+6.42vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.67vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.32+7.18vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37-0.90vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.14+2.44vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+1.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.38vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.04-0.32vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-2.22vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-5.95vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.86-2.40vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.82-3.27vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-7.94vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.65-8.49vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.93Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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12.18University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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5.1College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.27Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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11.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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9.68Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.6Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.06Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.51Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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14.71SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 21.7% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Allison Marozza | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 14.1% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.5% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Madeline Kraus | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 8.8% |
| Macey McCann | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 2.5% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Paula Resto | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.