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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.77+5.91vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+2.95vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+3.01vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.14+5.46vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72-1.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.77vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.14+2.42vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+0.39vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.12+0.68vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.65-2.58vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University1.86-0.44vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan1.32+0.31vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.72vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.04-4.07vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.82-4.42vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College0.49-1.28vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.36-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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4.95College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.01Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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3.95Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.68Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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7.42Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.56Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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11.28University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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9.93Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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10.58Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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14.72SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Rizika | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 14.1% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 21.6% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.8% |
| Taylor Gavula | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Paula Resto | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 5.4% |
| Allison Marozza | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 16.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 7.6% |
| Macey McCann | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Clara Guarascio | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 14.9% | 47.8% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.