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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+4.83vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.14+7.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.96+7.06vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.69+3.39vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37-0.10vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.36+2.78vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+0.05vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+1.29vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan1.32+3.55vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.47vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.72-6.86vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-3.46vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.75vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.14-4.44vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.82-4.47vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.86-5.49vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.36Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.06Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.9College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.05Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.29Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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12.55University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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8.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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4.14Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.54Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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10.53Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.51Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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14.74SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| Carly Broussard | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Emma Kaneti | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 14.6% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Allison Marozza | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 19.2% | 15.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 19.3% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.4% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 1.8% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.3% |
| Paula Resto | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Clara Guarascio | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.