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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+6.84vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.49+5.92vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University5.19+2.37vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.89+2.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.34+3.23vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.19+2.98vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.62+4.23vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.66+2.92vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.83-2.65vs Predicted
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10University of Florida2.84+4.13vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.78-4.29vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.34-3.33vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49-5.43vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-3.14vs Predicted
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15University of Miami3.69-4.10vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.48-4.11vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.92-3.11vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.00-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.84Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.92Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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5.37Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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6.18Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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8.23U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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8.98Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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10.92Connecticut College3.660.0%1st Place
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland4.830.1%1st Place
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14.13University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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6.71Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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8.67College of Charleston4.340.1%1st Place
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7.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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10.9University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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11.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.480.0%1st Place
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13.89Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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13.36SUNY Maritime College3.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Fred Strammer | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Vann | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% |
| Michael Marshall | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Michael Menninger | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 27.2% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Benvenutti | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Blouin | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| David Hernandez | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Ian Holtzworth | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% |
| Zach Runci | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 17.0% | 22.6% |
| Ted Green | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.