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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+3.85vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+1.91vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+5.64vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+3.08vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.96+4.94vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+0.17vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.12+2.55vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University1.82+2.41vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.69-1.54vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.14-0.68vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.25vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.86-1.59vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.36-4.31vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.26vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.14-5.58vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.32-3.60vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.85College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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3.91Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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8.64University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.08Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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9.94Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.55Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.41Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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11.25University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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10.41Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.69Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.42Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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12.4University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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14.76SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 16.1% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 20.4% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Carly Broussard | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Jessica McJones | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 15.0% | 7.8% |
| Paula Resto | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 4.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Allison Marozza | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 13.7% |
| Clara Guarascio | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 51.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.