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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.06+4.71vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+2.75vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.14+6.25vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.11+5.36vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.82+5.30vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.65vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+1.46vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.96+1.69vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-4.95vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.12-0.78vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.14-1.54vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.86-1.71vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.36-4.48vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.84vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.69-7.84vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.32-3.72vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.49-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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4.75College of Charleston3.370.2%1st Place
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9.25U. S. Naval Academy2.140.0%1st Place
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9.36Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.3Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.69Georgetown University1.960.0%1st Place
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4.05Brown University3.720.2%1st Place
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9.22Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.46Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.29Jacksonville University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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7.16Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.28University of Michigan1.320.0%1st Place
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14.66SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Giblin | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 15.1% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica McJones | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Sebby Turner | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 4.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Carly Broussard | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 18.4% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Paula Resto | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Madeline Kraus | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.3% |
| Emma Kaneti | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Allison Marozza | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 14.2% |
| Clara Guarascio | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 50.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.